Lovely Jubilee: Many SMEs to welcome a Royal boost as revenues predicted to rise

• Nearly half (45 per cent) of SMEs in the hospitality and leisure sector that are open across the Jubilee Bank Holiday expect the occasion to increase their sales for this quarter
• Jubilee weekend expected to offer a welcome boost to independent pubs, bars and restaurants to the tune of £76 million
• However, 74 per cent of smaller businesses are concerned about the impact of the rising cost of living
• The quarterly Barclays SME Barometer combines billions of merchant transactions, processed by Barclaycard Payments, with research data to provide an in-depth look at the UK SME economy

Three fifths (60 per cent) of small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) in the UK are expecting to see revenues rise this quarter when compared to the same period last year, in part thanks to a Royal boost from the Bank Holiday celebrations, according to the latest quarterly Barclays SME Barometer¹.

On average, SMEs expect to see a 10.4 per cent rise between the months of April and June 2022 against the same period in 2021, with those in the hospitality and leisure sector predicting a 34.7 per cent increase - a bounce back for a sector that had only just opened post-lockdown this time last year.

Despite an increasingly challenging trading environment, the Royal Jubilee is expected to boost independent pubs, bars, and restaurants to the tune of £76 million² on Thursday 2nd June and Friday 3rd June, with 49 per cent of those that are open predicting a sales rise.

This follows a successful first quarter of the year (January 2022 – March 2022) for UK SMEs with more than half (52 per cent) reporting a rise from Q4 2021, and 58 per cent reporting a year-on-year rise in revenue for the same period in 2021.

These figures are supported by data from Barclaycard Payments³, which processes 1 in 3 debit and credit card payments in the UK, which shows a rise of 20.11 per cent in the value and 35 per cent in the volume of payments to SMEs in the same period (January - March) versus pre-pandemic⁴.

Ross Robinson, owner of The Queens Hotel in Lytham, who will be holding a Jubilee garden party on bank holiday Friday, said: “Moving the May bank holiday and adding an extra day to celebrate The Queens Jubilee should give The Queens Hotel an opportunity to capitalise on what should be a period of warmer weather.

“The extra bank holiday enables our guests to celebrate with their friends and family at home while still having an opportunity to visit local venues such as ours. We hope the public use this time to support businesses in their local area, to help boost sales during a period where general costs of running a business are at the highest they have been for many years”

The predicted boost in revenue is welcome news for small businesses who are facing a number of challenges including rising inflation, fuel and energy price increases and difficulty hiring new workers.

The majority of SMEs (74 per cent) say that rising living costs, energy bills and inflation are a long-term concern for their business. Over half (51 per cent) worry that the rising costs will negatively impact consumer spending and a quarter (28 per cent) fear it will make them less competitive as they are forced to increase their own prices.

While they remain confident about the future of their businesses, over half of SMEs (46 per cent) have a pessimistic outlook on the prospects for the wider UK economy and two fifths (41 per cent) say that the current business environment is unstable.

Colin O’Flaherty, Head of SME at Barclaycard Payments, said: “After an exceptionally tough time for the hospitality and leisure sector, it’s encouraging to see that businesses have seen revenues rise over the last few months, despite a challenging economic climate.

“The Jubilee will provide a welcome and much needed confidence boost to many SMEs, as consumers look to celebrate, support local businesses and make the most of the four-day weekend.

“However, it’s not surprising that in the immediate term, cost of living increases, rising inflation and difficulty hiring new workers are a major cause of concern for small business owners. It’s vital that they continue to tap into the support of the wider business community to get through yet another difficult period.”

Demonstrating the confidence SMEs have about the future of their business, additional findings reveal that despite the challenging environment, the majority (87 per cent) of SMEs say they are planning to invest in their businesses over the next 12 months. Almost two-fifths (39 per cent) plan to recruit new staff with an average of eight new joiners for each business recruiting. Others plan to invest in new equipment and technology (32 per cent) and reskilling or upskilling staff (27 per cent).

Earlier this year, to help SMEs recover and grow, Barclays launched a package of support aimed at boosting small businesses. The bank is hosting 50 masterclasses a month this year, with a focus on managing cash flow, business growth and support for wellbeing. The classes are open to all small business owners, with national events focused on the hospitality sector. Find out more at https://labs.barclays/business-health-hub

ENDS

Notes to editors

¹Barclaycard Payments commissions YouGov to conduct its quarterly SME Barometer research. This quarter’s study was conducted among 574 small and medium-sized business leaders, with a nationally representative regional and industry sample, between 21st April 2022 and 9th May 2022.

²According to the YouGov research, 86 per cent of hospitality SMEs are open across the Jubilee weekend. Based on the ONS’ business population estimates, this is equivalent to 138,400 SMEs in ‘food and beverage service activities’ (which includes pubs, restaurants, bars and cafes). Of those, 49 per cent predict a revenue increase over ‘normal’ trading days, giving 67,816 businesses. YouGov estimates the Jubilee will be worth £608.55 for each hospitality SME on Thursday 2nd June, and £513.01 on Friday 3rd June. This gives an overall figure of £41.3m on Thursday and £34.8m on the Friday totalling £76.1m collectively.

³Barclaycard Payments transaction data processed between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022 by SMEs in the UK compared to the same period in 2019. This comparison has been used to account for consumer spending being heavily impacted by the lockdowns in March 2020 and March 2021. Measuring spending growth against the same period in 2019 provides a more accurate view of the UK’s long-term recovery from the impact of coronavirus.

⁴The large growth in card spending with SMEs between 2019 and 2022 can also be attributed in part to the rising popularity of Chip & PIN and contactless payments over cash payments – a long-term trend which accelerated during the pandemic.

⁵To measure SME sentiment, Barclaycard and YouGov have aggregated SMEs’ viewpoints on 10 key topics to create an overall index score out of 100, with anything over 50 indicating a positive outlook, while anything under 50 is negative. The breakdown of key topics is below, including the change in sentiment score for each category compared to previous Barometers.